[PDF.37ss] Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Are Next to Worthless, and You Can Do Better

Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Are Next to Worthless, and You Can Do Better

[PDF.ys70] Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Are Next to Worthless, and You Can Do Better

Future Babble: Why Expert  Daniel Gardner epub
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 | #887369 in Books |  2011-03-17 |  2011-03-17 | Original language:English | PDF # 1 |  1.14 x6.39 x9.26l,1.13 | File type: PDF | 320 pages

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||1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.| Great popularizing of Tetlock “Expert Political judgment”|By Abacus|Dan Gardner essentially presents the amazing work of Philip Tetlock who precisely documented in “Expert Political Judgment” over a couple of decades. Tetlock uncovered that the vast majority of experts predictions in politics and other social sciences were highly inaccurate and often no

An award-winning journalist uses landmark research to debunk the whole expert prediction industry, and explores the psychology of our obsession with future history.

In 2008, experts predicted gas would hit $20 a gallon; it peaked at $4.10. In 1967, they said the USSR would be the world's fastest-growing economy by 2000; by 2000, the USSR no longer existed. In 1908, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe; we all know how that turned o...

You easily download any file type for your gadget.Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Are Next to Worthless, and You Can Do Better   |  Daniel Gardner. I really enjoyed this book and have already told so many people about it!

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